Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.206200 4.652219 5.128012 5.673810 6.283205 6.943337 7.713489
2026-01-11 3.447023 4.051732 4.740338 5.584513 6.594264 7.766665 9.235983
2026-01-18 2.885253 3.570807 4.396091 5.467297 6.827571 8.506011 10.747393
2026-01-25 2.463822 3.188064 4.102974 5.351384 7.022585 9.199395 12.277030
2026-02-01 2.141499 2.881177 3.856030 5.246470 7.197572 9.865783 13.838728
2026-02-08 1.886994 2.628105 3.642379 5.147615 7.351483 10.501665 15.420135
2026-02-15 1.697532 2.439532 3.490447 5.107741 7.570135 11.237080 17.221606
2026-02-22 1.580550 2.339179 3.448851 5.216243 8.009161 12.334627 19.701609
2026-03-01 1.446512 2.197884 3.329205 5.187798 8.225639 13.101717 21.738337
2026-03-08 1.303482 2.027768 3.146995 5.037833 8.224331 13.508331 23.209574
2026-03-15 1.202380 1.913144 3.039181 4.993460 8.385803 14.192173 25.233508
2026-03-22 1.143680 1.860718 3.025051 5.100630 8.811581 15.368325 28.286239
2026-03-29 1.085350 1.805198 3.003057 5.196177 9.235050 16.603003 31.649087
2026-04-05 1.018715 1.729683 2.940226 5.212976 9.517235 17.611360 34.716231
2026-04-12 0.947309 1.639606 2.843837 5.158542 9.659003 18.368044 37.380196
2026-04-19 0.879474 1.550016 2.740232 5.079640 9.743466 19.019411 39.911811
2026-04-26 0.817825 1.466433 2.640143 4.996938 9.809835 19.638709 42.457264
2026-05-03 0.761805 1.388644 2.544070 4.912196 9.861513 20.230453 45.021128
2026-05-10 0.717440 1.329168 2.477470 4.879302 10.016016 21.055491 48.239417
2026-05-17 0.693296 1.306358 2.479277 4.985408 10.476612 22.600008 53.402141
2026-05-24 0.656113 1.255143 2.420918 4.959917 10.645987 23.509275 57.134843
2026-05-31 0.609582 1.181900 2.312704 4.817938 10.539103 23.768021 59.248256
2026-06-07 0.577078 1.134503 2.253284 4.776139 10.655818 24.565111 62.886720